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Posts Tagged ‘venture capital’

Interesting article yesterday on venturebeat.com about why the VC market is broken.  The circumstances surrounding the economic climate and end of the “let’s create a cash burning internet startup and hope it gets bought out” mentality will cause an estimated 50% of VC firms to go under.  This consolidation of VC is probably needed as the easy-money VC-fund my friend’s startup fad is finally recognized as an ill founded business model.  A few interesting points made in the article:

  • Less than 10% of startups that need capital get funded
  • The companies that get funded are generally through knowing friends or “friend-of-friends”
  • Endowments and pension funds are moving away from investing in VC funds
  • VC funds are now consuming more capital then they are generating

At present moment, VCs are not a creator of value, but a diminisher of value!

Where I do agree with Ressi is in the ugly economics overall. Most daunting is that there’s more money being invested into venture firms than those same VC firms are generating from their investments in start-ups — in other words, Ressi argues, they’re now having a net negative affect on the economy. You’d expect this lopsided dynamic to exist temporarily in a downturn. But the worrying thing is that this state of affairs may last for quite some time.

I’m not sure how long this negative balance will last, but for now it certainly contradicts the message traditionally propagated by the VC industry — that it, that VC is a net creator of value, namely of stock market growth and job creation. That positive impact was indisputable — until now.

In order for the VC market to stabilize, the underperfoming firms will need to be weeded out.

However, a lot of VCs are likely to go under this time. This asset class significantly underperformed other asset classes between 1998 and 2006. A handful of firms — Sequoia, Kleiner, Benchmark, Accel and a handful of others — have pulled up the average performance somewhat, because they’ve produced an inordinate amount of the successes (a small group of homeruns, the eBays and the Googles, account for 25 percent of total VC returns over the past 20 years; see Ressi’s slides). But if you invest in the average firm, you’re doing very poorly. So limited partners will probably shift from endowments and foundations increasingly to fund-of-funds and sovereign wealth funds.

So, yes, the VC model is badly broken. This time, Bob Kagle’s statement about half of all VCs going out of business is more likely to be true.

The way I see it, the doors will be opening for those willing to create a solid business model to flourish.  Instead of spending time worrying about how to impress and sell whatever company we start to a VC firm, we will focus on building and evovling our business itself.  It seems that CollarFree has a pretty firm grasp on this concept, and we can learn a lot from them.

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Sources:
http://venturebeat.com/2008/11/12/the-vc-model-is-broken/

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As far as my understanding goes, this is the normal process for funding a startup:

  1. Seed Capital: funding to get the initial concept off of the ground
  2. Bank Loan: debt funding to get prove the business model works on a small scale
  3. Angel Investor or Venture Capital: equity funding to take a proven business model to the next level and achieve dramatic growth and become profitable
  4. Merger, Acquisition or Public Listing: Exit strategy that would include one of the following; at this point the founder could continue to lead the company or cash out.

The distance between these steps is widening, and step 3 in particular is beginning to favor Angels over VC for less established businesses.

As times change, so too does capital availability.  VC is closing their doors to new investments and focusing on developing their current portfolios.  This is making Angel Investors a more viable alternative, however, they are also becoming increasingly more picky.  A few things that I have gathered is that they are preferring the following:

  • Shorter Sales Cycles in the business model
  • Experienced Management over a brilliant newcomers
  • Intellectual Property that can guarantee a competitive advantage
  • A business model that will not require repeated cash infusions over the next several years

An example:

Meet the new breed of angel-backed entrepreneur. Donna Myers, president of software provider TowerCare Technologies, is in the process of securing $2 million in angel funding. But she’s no newbie: Her 22-person Wexford (Pa.) company has 160 customers and last year generated $500,000 in sales.

In years past, a firm of Myers’ size might have sought venture capital. But as venture capital funds have moved upstream, doing larger deals, angel investors are being pitched by much more established companies. Now it’s not just first-time entrepreneurs or those whose companies are in their infancy who are winning cash from angels, although those entrepreneurs are still pitching. Increasingly, successful candidates, like Myers, boast impressive experience and a significant customer base.

Click below for the slideshow on angel investors:

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Sources:
http://images.businessweek.com/ss/08/10/1017_sb_angel_investors/index.htm
http://www.businessweek.com/smallbiz/content/oct2008/sb20081016_778120.htm?link_position=link1

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In the next 6 months we are likely going to see many tech businesses (and any businesses for that matter) go under.  This may include Spearhead Technologies.  This will be especially true of businesses that are facing any of the following:

  1. A bad business model
  2. A good product at the wrong time (waning market demand)
  3. Insufficient capital reserves
  4. Lack of continued/new funding options
  5. Unsustainable burn rates

It is a rough time to own a small business.  This actually should help us if anything, as we can take note of who is failing and why.  The downside is that it become increasingly more difficult to pitch an idea to investors as skepticism kicks in a lot faster, and less capital is available to go around. Ron Conway, one of the most prolific investors in Silicon Valley, re-sounded the following warnings to start-ups this week.  What is kind of scary is the fact that this is exactly the same advice he issued right before the tech bubble burst in 2000.  Here is a summary of his emails:

1. If you are in a funding cycle, you should raise your funding as soon as possible and raise as much as possible.  The capital market window is shutting, including IPOs and VC Funding (VCs are looking at their existing portfolio funding needs – not new opportunities). Basically the market is now looking for PtoP (Path to Profitability) instead of BtoC, BtoB, etc! PtoE will prevail price to sales ratios!

2. Many companies are ignoring certain VC leads we’ve provided in order to concentrate on the top tier only. While we have preached that in the past, this is no longer the case. Currently, top-tier VC bandwidth constraints, coupled with the market down draft, make it very important to take meetings with any VCs where you can get their attention. We have been working hard to open up this new bandwidth.

3. You must aggressively examine and pursue M&A opportunities (unless you have over 12 months of cash reserves!) to insure you have critical mass (including funding, customers, rolodex power, market share, cash, synergy, etc.).

4. Be realistic on valuations – they will fall so be ready and willing to co-operate.

5. Look for corporate partners to invest so you can raise more money. You should also consider a sale of your company to your corporate partners.

6. If you are entering a funding cycle start raising money sooner rather than later.

7. While it’s safe to say entrepreneurs have had negotiating leverage with the “down draft” in the market, the VC community will start exercising their leverage.

Spearhead is currently pursuing step number 3, and if this doesn’t pan out, it’s most likely lights out.

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Sources:
http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/10/08/angel-investor-ron-conway-adresses-his-portfolio-companies-over-financial-meltdown/

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I’m sure you read about this on TechCrunch, but I thought it was significant enough to post.  As the economy slows down and bank lending dries up, it is becoming more difficult not only to acquire funding, but to reach the end goal of being acquired by a larger entity.  Basically what this means for us as we brainstorm, is that we need to build a business model that is sustainable, and that we are willing to work with for a longer term then a lot of tech startups have been used to in the past.  This most likely will apply to any venture we start up, whether it is tech based or not.  Here are the raw M&A as well as IPO numbers:

The liquidity drought for venture-backed startups, which was already declared to be a crisis in the second quarter when not a single VC-backed IPO went out, continued in the third quarter.
For the first three quarters of the year combined, IPOs brought in only $470 million and M&A activity totaled $11.3 billion, a steep decline from prior years (see chart). Don’t expect the situation to get better any time soon.

As you pointed out earlier in the week, the companies that have received large VC injections in the last 2 years will be the ones best able to weather this financial storm.  We need to be sure that whatever business we start will target a market that has enough purchasing power to sustain our business model.  There will be plenty of opportunity, but it may be more complex and challenging for us to set up a profitable, sustainable business model.  I have a feeling that those who are able to create new businesses during this tough time will come out on the top when things begin to get better.

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Sources:
http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/10/02/no-exits-liquidity-dries-up-even-more-for-vc-backed-startups-in-third-quarter/
http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/09/30/startups-best-positioned-to-weather-a-downturn/

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The last two investment banks in the US filed to change their status from Investment Banks to Bank Holding companies.  I don’t know if this will affect small businesses access to capital in any way.  I know both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley both own Venture Capital companies as well as Hedge Funds that invest in startups.  Hopefully this won’t change the way they operate.

WASHINGTON (AP) — It was the end of an era on Wall Street as the Federal Reserve granted permission for the last two major investment banks — Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley — to become bank holding companies in order to stay in business.

The Fed announced late Sunday evening that it had approved the request, which will allow Goldman and Morgan Stanley to create commercial banks that can take deposits, bolstering the resources of both institutions.

The change is the latest seismic shift on Wall Street as the financial system tries to cope with mounting problems that began more than a year ago with the subprime mortgage crisis.

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Sources:
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080922/bank_change.html

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Found an interesting article that makes a case against creating a startup in the Valley.  Here is a quick summary of the article.

1. The weather sucks in some of these towns (not Tallahassee) so your people will actually work instead of bugging out at 5:15 to train for a marathon, triathlon or Ultimate Frisbee.

5. Academics make great board members. Each of these cities has a rich educational environment and are great places to recruit sartorial advisors. And unlike at Stanford, you wont have to give up 1 percent of your equity just to put the provost’s name on your board!

2. You can recruit better outside the fishbowl. Every technology company hits the wall — some multiple times. In the Valley your employees will bail at the first sign of trouble and jump to a better job in the next parking lot. That means you will have to spike salaries to rebuild your team. Other places in the world aren’t quite so spoiled – or they come to you already cynical and stay through the rough times.

3. You won’t get lost in the startup maze. In the Valley, every VC has a portfolio company in each flavor – their own LP’s can’t tell them apart.

4. In my experience, other startup communities aren’t as pre-occupied with the “exit” as Da Valley. SV VC’s have attention spans measured in picoseconds and will sell/merge your company at the first sign of trouble. I can say that in Boston, at least, we are used to gutting out long “winters.”

Just how much VC is being thrown around?

All this speculation is mostly hot air, anyway, because investors put their money where their mouth is. Of the $7.4b of VC invested in Q2, LA/Orange County got more VC than Texas and Philadelphia/NJ combined. San Diego (population 3 million) got the same VC as five Midwestern states, and more than twice as much as the six North Central states (which includes top schools like Minnesota and Wisconsin).

Of course Silicon Valley took 40% of the national total — or more money than the combined take of the next six regions (comprising all or part of 20 different states).

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Sources:
http://blog.openitstrategies.com/2008/09/sv-quaking-in-its-boots.html

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TechCrunch 50

I want to keep a copy of this list (52 companies this year) on our site so we can use it as a reference later and track some of these company’s progress.  By clicking on the links, it’ll take us to the developers website, and the “CB” will take us to the CrunchBase profile.

Monday, September 8, 2008

Session 1: Youth and Culture. 9:00-10:15am

  • Blah Girls – Backed by Ashton Kutcher, Blah Girls is a gossip site that features a group of animated teenage girls who provide opinions on what’s going on in the world of entertainment
  • Tweegee (CB) — A hub for tweens, Tweegee offers the youth market a suite of online tools for social interaction and organization
  • Shryk (CB) — Web-based financial software for children aimed at promoting financial literacy and good saving habits
  • Hangout Industries (CB) — Blends social networking with virtual worlds by creating a 3D, online environment where 16-24 year olds can chat and share media

Session 2: Memes & News. 10:30 – 11:45am

  • DotSpots (CB) — Tracks the memes spreading across the web, aggregates the content associated with them, and gives everyone Wikipedia-like control over that content
  • Angstro (CB) — Lets you set up a feed of news about your friends, instead of news by your friends
  • LiveHit (CB) — Tracks the music, videos, and entertainment sites people are clicking on right now
  • Quant the News (CB) — Creator of StockMood.com, a service that tracks the sentiments of online news stories about stocks and then measures their potential impact on the direction of those stocks’ prices

Session 3: Enterprise. 2:30 – 3:45pm

  • FairSoftware (CB) — Creates virtual shares around software projects that gives each contributor a portion of any resulting revenues
  • Yammer (CB) — A web application designed for businesses and organizations that asks its users to answer the question, “What are you working on?”
  • Connective Logic (CB) — Along with the company’s real-time middleware, Blueprint will make it easier for developers to design, generate code, and deploy complex multi-core software applications without requiring expertise in multi-threaded software development
  • Devunity (CB) — A platform for writing code in a browser-based editor that doesn’t force developers to use a proprietary layer
  • OpenTrace – Traces items through the supply chain and adds them together to show the impact of products on the environment

Session 4: Advertising & Commerce Monetization. 3:45 – 5:00pm

  • Burt (CB) — Collects user data to tailor individual advertising campaigns and target users more effectively
  • Adgregate Markets (CB) — Brings online stores to consumers through a display ad that is a fully transactional widget
  • Adrocket (CB) — Contextual text-based advertising for email; assigns keywords to each address depending on known demographic and contextual data
  • OtherInBox (CB) — Provides an easy way to quarantine the spam and the messages you receive from online services

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

Session 5: Collaboration. 9:00 – 10:15am

  • Tingz (CB) — Offers a unified platform for delivering internet content across multiple devices including mobile phones and PCs
  • MIXTT (CB) — A group based social network/dating site that encourages real world interaction that’s more comfortable than the 1-on-1 format of most similar sites
  • Imindi (CB) — Based on neuroscientific principles, Imindi’s Thought Engine tries to exceed human thought and help its users find new ideas, concepts, and questions on the Web
  • Popego (CB) — Surfaces the most meaningful information from within your social graph based on your interests and other factors

Session 6: Finance & Statistics. 10:30 -11:45am

  • PersonalRIA (CB) — Allows users to shadow a professional investment advisor’s portfolio, automatically executing trades (which most brokerage sites cannot do)
  • Emerginvest (CB) — Offers commentary and analysis on Emerging Markets and tools that provide you with information on how to diversify globally
  • ExchangeP (CB) — Dubbed a “fantasy stock market,” ExhangeP’s service allows users to sign up for free and start investing in private companies
  • Me-trics (CB) — Lets you see how mood, weight, and goals correlate with other metrics, including web services like Facebook or RescueTime
  • iCharts (CB) — YouTube for embeddable, interactive charts

Session 7: Mobile. 2:15 – 3:30pm

  • Mytopia (CB) — A gaming platform that lets players compete across mobile devices and social networks
  • Tonchidot (CB) — Makes the Sekai Camera, a camera system that aims to merge the virtual and real worlds by using a digital device as a viewfinder
  • Mobclix (CB) — An analytics and monetization platform for iPhone developers
  • FitBit (CB) — Developing a small wireless sensor called the Fitbit Tracker, which automatically records data about a person’s activities, calories burned, sleep quality, steps, and distance throughout the day

Session 8: Language & Communication Tools. 3:45 – 5:00pm

  • Alfabetic (CB) — Translates any blog or Website into another language and places ads alongside it in the new tongue
  • Postbox (CB) — Based on Mozilla technology, Postbox saves users time when looking for particular information within their email
  • Swype (CB) — A new method of text input on touch screens; does away with traditional “hunt and peck” in favor of a more fluid motion
  • DropBox (CB) — Provides an easy way to backup your files, share them with coworkers and friends, and synchronize them between computers

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Session 9: Rich Media. 9:00 – 10:15am

  • VideoSurf (CB) — A visual video search engine that allow users to search across millions of videos for a given actor and to view summaries of videos through a series of detected keyframes
  • GazoPa (CB) — An image search engine developed by Hitachi that uses visual similarities between photos to suggest matches (rather than simply relying on keywords).
  • Fotonauts (CB) — A photo sharing application that turns every album instantly into a Web page.
  • Bojam (CB) — Although there are a slew of online music services already on the Web, Bojam is trying to do something a bit different: it wants to connect musicians and allow them to collaborate over the Web.

Session 10: Games. 10:30 – 11:45am

  • Grockit (CB) – A “Massively Multi-Player Online Learning Game”
  • Akoha (CB) — A web-based social game played with trading cards aimed at spreading good deeds around the world
  • Atmosphir — A platform for creating 3D interactive games by selecting blocks (such as a sand castle tower, fireball-breathing bird, or trap door) and snapping them onto a grid.
  • PlaYce (CB) — Provides a 3D virtual world inside the browser for games and social interaction that is based on the real world

Session 11: Vertical Social Networking. 2:15 – 3:30pm

  • Birdpost (CB) — A social network for birdwatchers
  • Closet Couture — Fashionistas need a social network too and Closet Couture is looking to give them one by connecting them to other fashion lovers, stylists, and retailers
  • Footnote (CB) — For those looking to create historical records of loved ones or themselves, Footnote offers a timeline-based archive where you can upload photos and documents linked to historical databases
  • Causecast (CB) — Causecast leverages social networking to connect nonprofits, leaders, celebrities and brands with those who want to make a difference through good causes
  • Shattered Reality Interactive (CB) — A new massively multiplayer online game (think World of Warcraft) that lets the crowd guide the direction of future expansions

Session 12: Research & Recommendations. 3:45 – 5:00pm

  • GoodGuide (CB) – Provides information on the health, environmental, and social impacts of products and companies
  • GoPlanit (CB) — A one-click travel planner that assembles a customized trip itinerary with the click of a button; also supports mobile microblogging
  • TrueCar (CB) – A site that allows users to assess the current market value of their automobiles in a given geographic area
  • Goodrec (CB) – A mobile and online recommendation service that provides brief, to-the-point recommendations from friends and trusted sources

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Found this on TechCrunch, see the links at the bottom.  This applies mainly to the tech industry, but will be a good resource to keep handy none-the-less. 

Here is an overview of the 18 Tips:

1. Show your product within the first 60 seconds
2. The best products take less than five minutes to demo
3. Leave people wanting more.
4. Talk about what you’ve done, not what you’re going to do.
5. Understand your competitive landscape–current and historical.
6. Short answers are best.
7. PowerPoint bullet slides are death
8. How to use this new device called the phone.
9. How to handle questions you don’t know the answer to
10. Always confirm the time of your meeting/call, and always be 15 minutes early.
11. Show, Don’t Tell
12. Use inclusive words, live in the present
13. One driver, one navigator
14. How to handle technical issues
15. The Setup
16. Horrible ways to start your presentation:
17. Describe your product five times
18. Change up your style (i.e. shift your tone)

 

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References:

http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/08/09/how-to-demo-your-startup/
http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/09/01/how-to-demo-your-startup-part-two/

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